Will Donald Trump attend Joe Biden’s inauguration ceremony in person?

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 0¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on both sources deemed appropriate by the forecast team, or empirically by watching the inauguration on a livestream — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: both sources deemed appropriate by the Forecast team, or empirically by watching the inauguration on a livestream — https://forecastapp.net/q/TWFya2V0OlJpZXFKYTBGQU5n).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.