The market moved
+16.5ppin 24h · now 73¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026?
Macro · resolves Jun 30 · vol $647.26
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 73¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 16.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.