The market moved
-13.5ppin 24h · now 55¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?
Politics · resolves May 31 · vol $1.9K
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 55¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 13.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.