The market moved

-52.9ppin 24h · now

Will Donald Trump say "Tariff" 7+ times during Merz events on June 5?

Politics · resolves Jun 5 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 52.9pp shift. Resolution depends on washingtonexaminer.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: washingtonexaminer.com — https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/white-house/3427809/trump-to-meet-merz-white-house-next-week/.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.