The market moved
-4.0ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will Donald Trump's tie be red?
Politics · resolves Apr 25 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.0pp shift. Resolution depends on white house — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: White House — https://i.ytimg.com/vi/20w7J2JAmqw/maxresdefault.jpg.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.