The market moved
+6.5ppin 24h · now 62¢
Will Doug Basler advance to the general election for WA-09?
Politics · resolves Aug 4 · vol $12.88
Why
Probability rose decisively up to 62¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 6.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.