The market moved
-2.3ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will Dow say "Fiscal" 10+ times during earnings call?
Business · resolves Jul 23 · vol $792.88
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.3pp shift. Resolution depends on the next earnings announcement of dow currently scheduled to take place on july 23, 2026 at 9 am et — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: the next earnings announcement of Dow currently scheduled to take place on July 23, 2026 at 9 AM ET — https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 3.9h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.