The market moved
+32.5ppin 24h · now 73¢
Will Dr. Fernando Máximo win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?
Politics · resolves Oct 4 · vol $1.1K
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 73¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 32.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.