The market moved
-34.5ppin 24h · now 12¢
Will Dragan Čović be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Politics · resolves Dec 31 · vol $33.06
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 12¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 34.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official government information — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Official government information.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.