The market moved

+0.1ppin 24h · now

Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?

Other · resolves Dec 20 · vol $17.02

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 6¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on to the film which grosses more domestically during their opening weekend in theaters — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the film which grosses more domestically during their opening weekend in theaters — https://www.the-numbers.com/).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.