The market moved

+1.5ppin 24h · now 80¢

Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Entertainment · resolves Jan 21 · vol $5.12

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 80¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.oscars.org/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.