Will 'Dune: Part Two' gross under $70m opening weekend?

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 0¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the box office mojo numbers under domestic weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes thursday's preview — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

Resolution status: proposed — verify before treating this as news.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's preview — https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt15239678/.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
• UMA resolution status is "proposed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.