The market moved

-2.5ppin 24h · now 66¢

Will Dusty Johnson win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?

Politics · resolves Jun 2 · vol $25.70

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 66¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on nato — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: nato.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
-2.5pp · Will Dusty Johnson win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election? | Orrery