The market moved
+2.7ppin 24h · now 37¢
Will Dylan Cease win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
Sports · resolves Nov 12 · vol $828.13
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 37¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.7pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.