Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 18¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 7.5pp shift. Resolution depends on annual report — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: annual report — https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.