Will ECDC announce a new COVID-19 "Variant of Concern" before August 2022?

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 0¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on ecdc.europa.eu — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: ecdc.europa.eu — https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/covid-19/variants-concern.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.