The market moved

-2.5ppin 24h · now 14¢

Will Egypt be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?

Sports · resolves Jul 20 · vol $172.18

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 14¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official fifa data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Official FIFA data.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.