The market moved
+4.0ppin 24h · now 27¢
Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?
Politics · resolves Sep 8 · vol $7.82
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 27¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 4.0pp shift. Resolution depends on nato — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: nato.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.