The market moved
+4.2ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025?
Other · resolves Dec 31 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 4.2pp shift. Resolution depends on federal reserve — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Federal Reserve — https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.