The market moved

-0.7ppin 24h · now

Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $445B and $450B on January 31?

Tech · resolves Jan 31 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.7pp shift. Resolution depends on bloomberg — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Bloomberg — https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.