Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $450b and $460b on October 31?

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 39.6pp shift. Resolution depends on bloomberg — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: Bloomberg — https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.