The market moved
-10.0ppin 24h · now 20¢
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700B and $800B on August 31?
Tech · resolves Aug 31 · vol $136.63
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 20¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 10.0pp shift. Resolution depends on bloomberg — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Bloomberg — https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.