The market moved

-49.5ppin 24h · now

Will Elon post "IPO" on X this week?

Business · resolves Aug 9 · vol $163.42

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 49.5pp shift. Resolution depends on @elonmusk — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: @elonmusk.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.