The market moved

+27.0ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will Elon say "Social Security" during Baier interview on Thursday?

Other · resolves Mar 27 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 27.0pp shift. Resolution depends on what has been released up to that point — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: what has been released up to that point — https://www.axios.com/2025/03/25/elon-musk-doge-interview-fox-news-bret-baier.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.