The market moved

+2.9ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?

Tech · resolves Aug 8 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.9pp shift. Resolution depends on post counter — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Post Counter — https://www.xtracker.io/.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.