The market moved

-0.4ppin 24h · now

Will Elon's daughter move out of the U.S.?

Tech · resolves Dec 31 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.4pp shift. Resolution depends on public statement by wilson — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Public statement by Wilson — https://www.independent.co.uk/life-style/elon-musk-daughter-donald-trump-b2643223.html).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.