The market moved

+70.2ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will Emmanuel Wanyonyi (KEN) win gold in 800m M?

Sports · resolves Aug 7 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 70.2pp shift. Directional flow is consistent with new information being priced in; the underlying source isn't tagged in the market metadata.

What to verify

  • No resolution source was tagged in the market metadata — read the question text on Polymarket carefully before acting.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.