The market moved
+2.0ppin 24h · now 12¢
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Business · resolves Dec 31 · vol $9.1K
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 12¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the individual ranked #1 in google’s official year in search global "people" list for 2026 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.