The market moved
-7.0ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 0.5%?
Macro · resolves Apr 30 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 7.0pp shift. Resolution depends on gdp release — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: GDP release — https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.