The market moved
+5.0ppin 24h · now 14¢
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?
Macro · resolves Oct 30 · vol $151.20
Why
Probability rose decisively up to 14¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 5.0pp shift. Resolution depends on gdp release — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: GDP release — https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.