The market moved

-3.6ppin 24h · now

Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 0.0 and 0.5%?

Macro · open · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.6pp shift. Resolution depends on gdp release — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: GDP release — https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.