The market moved
+1.5ppin 24h · now 12¢
Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Sports · resolves Oct 26 · vol $38.46
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 12¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.ballondor.com/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.