The market moved

-2.2ppin 24h · now

Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Sports · resolves Jul 20 · vol $350.16

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 2¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.2pp shift. Resolution depends on official fifa data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Official FIFA data.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.