Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 74.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the number of tornadoes recorded in the united states during 2025, based on the annual count published on the nationa — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during 2025, based on the annual count published on the Nationa — https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series/ytd/0?fatalities=true).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.