Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná?

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 93¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.