Will Florida's abortion protection measure pass?

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.5pp shift. Resolution depends on ballotpedia.org — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: ballotpedia.org — https://ballotpedia.org/Florida_Amendment_4,_Right_to_Abortion_Initiative_(2024).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.