The market moved
-39.6ppin 24h · now 3¢
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 5%?
Politics · resolves Aug 11 · vol $295.89
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 3¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 39.6pp shift. Resolution depends on nato — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: nato — https://myvote.wi.gov/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.