The market moved

+8.9ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will Francine hit US as a hurricane?

Weather · resolves Sep 30 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose decisively up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 8.9pp shift. Resolution depends on an initial advisory released by the nhc that francine has made landfall within the conterminous united states within the — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: an initial advisory released by the NHC that Francine has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the — https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/index.shtml).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.