The market moved
-0.1ppin 24h · now 3¢
Will Frank Chapman be the WY-AL Republican nominee?
Politics · resolves Aug 18 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 3¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on to the candidate who wins the nomination for the republican party to contest the wyoming at-large congressional district — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the Wyoming At-Large congressional district — https://www.rnc.org/.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.