The market moved

+1.0ppin 24h · now

Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?

Politics · resolves Oct 11 · vol $242.04

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 8¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
+1.0pp · Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election? | Orrery