The market moved

-15.0ppin 24h · now

Will Future Front (FM) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?

Politics · resolves Jul 2 · vol $154.82

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 4¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 15.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.