The market moved

+0.0ppin 24h · now 40¢

Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Politics · resolves Apr 17 · vol $23.23

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 40¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
+0.0pp · Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Orrery