The market moved

-0.1ppin 24h · now 90¢

Will Gabriel Magalhães be named to the 2026 PFA Premier League Team of the Year?

Sports · resolves Aug 21 · vol $70.67

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 90¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 5.2h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.