The market moved

-5.0ppin 24h · now 74¢

Will gas hit $4.25 (High) by August 31?

Other · resolves Aug 31 · vol $192.73

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 74¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 5.0pp shift. Resolution depends on gasprices.aaa.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: gasprices.aaa.com — https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.