The market moved
+39.0ppin 24h · now 88¢
Will Geordin Hill-Lewis be the next mayor of Cape Town?
Politics · resolves Nov 5 · vol $3.0K
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 88¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 39.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official government information — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Official government information — https://elections.org.za).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.