The market moved
-0.3ppin 24h · now 1¢
Will George Lucas-Tadeo be the Hawaii Democratic nominee for Governor?
Politics · resolves Aug 8 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.3pp shift. Resolution depends on to the candidate who wins the nomination for the democratic party to contest the election for governor of hawaii in the — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the election for Governor of Hawaii in the — https://democrats.org/.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.