The market moved
-13.5ppin 24h · now 12¢
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%?
Macro · resolves Oct 30 · vol $2.4K
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 12¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 13.5pp shift. Resolution depends on gdp release — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: GDP release — https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.