The market moved

-3.5ppin 24h · now 47¢

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,400 by end of June? (copy)

Other · resolves Jun 30 · vol $6.51

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 47¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.5pp shift. Resolution depends on cme / nymex official futures price — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: CME / NYMEX official futures price.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.