Will Gold hit $4000 by June 30, 2026?

Why

Probability rose decisively up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 5.5pp shift. Resolution depends on cme / nymex official futures price — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: CME / NYMEX official futures price — https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GCW00:COMEX).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.