The market moved
+3.5ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will Gold hit $4000 by March 31, 2026?
Other · resolves Dec 31 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 3.5pp shift. Resolution depends on cme / nymex official futures price — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: CME / NYMEX official futures price — https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GCW00:COMEX).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.